Value bet: Atletico Tucuman to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.80
Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independ. Rivadavia welcome Atletico Tucuman to Estadio Regional de Los Andes for a Copa Argentina fixture on Wednesday 16 September (23:00 WAT).
Current form
Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Aldosivi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Atletico Tucuman, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to River Plate, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Atletico Tucuman 0–0 Independ. Rivadavia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independ. Rivadavia 1.3 xG, Atletico Tucuman 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independ. Rivadavia 42%, draw 24%, Atletico Tucuman 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Atletico Tucuman to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Atletico Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independ. Rivadavia42%fair 2.41 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Atletico Tucuman34%fair 2.92 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.33Independ. Rivadavia xG
1.17Atletico Tucuman xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.3 – 1.2 Atletico Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Tucuman 34%.
How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Atletico Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman (Copa Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Los Andes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
