Value bet: Porto U19 to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPorto U19 to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.44
Porto U19 vs PSV U19: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 20 October the UEFA Youth League brings Porto U19 against PSV U19 at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Porto U19, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Gil Vicente U19, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
PSV U19, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over RB Leipzig U19, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Porto U19 2.7 xG, PSV U19 1.6 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 73% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Porto U19 63%, draw 14%, PSV U19 23%.
GG/NG: GG (73%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Porto U19 to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Porto U19 2–1 PSV U19. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Porto U1963%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw14%fair 6.94 · @4.00
PSV U1923%fair 4.35 · @3.50
4.25Expected goals
2.67Porto U19 xG
1.58PSV U19 xG
73%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Porto U19 2.7 – 1.6 PSV U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Porto U19 to win✓
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Draw no bet
Porto U19 (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Porto U19 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
First team to score
Porto U19 to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Porto U19 ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Porto U19 / FT Porto U19✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.44
–
Recent results
Porto U19 – last 6
WLWDWW
17 Oct
vs Gil Vicente U19
5–0
W
14 Oct
@ Real Betis U19
0–5
L
10 Oct
@ Sporting Braga U19
4–2
W
19 Sep
vs Rio Ave U19
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Famalicão U19
4–0
W
8 Sep
vs Manchester City U19
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PSV U19 – last 6
WWWWLW
13 Oct
@ RB Leipzig U19
6–1
W
10 Sep
vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19
1–0
W
9 May
@ Feyenoord U19
3–2
W
21 Apr
vs ADO Den Haag U19
6–1
W
11 Apr
@ Sparta Rotterdam U19
1–2
L
10 Mar
@ ADO Den Haag U19
3–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Porto U19 and PSV U19.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Porto U19 vs PSV U19?
On our numbers Porto U19 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 14% and PSV U19 23%.
How many goals will there be in Porto U19 vs PSV U19?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Porto U19 vs PSV U19?
Our predicted score is Porto U19 2–1 PSV U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Porto U19 vs PSV U19?
Porto U19 vs PSV U19 (UEFA Youth League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.