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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Racing Montevideo v Boston River: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
3–2
FT
Racing Montevideo 49%Draw 23%Boston River 27% Expected goals 1.25 – 0.82
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultRacing Montevideo to win ✓49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.37

Racing Montevideo vs Boston River: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Racing Montevideo v Boston River in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto. In the table, Racing Montevideo are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Boston River are 11th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Racing Montevideo, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Central Espanol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Boston River, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Colón, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Racing Montevideo 1–0 Boston River. The last 2 head-to-heads: Racing Montevideo 1 win, Boston River 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Racing Montevideo 1.2 xG, Boston River 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Montevideo 49%, draw 23%, Boston River 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Montevideo 1–1 Boston River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Racing Montevideo49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Boston River27%fair 3.65 · @3.80
2.07Expected goals
1.25Racing Montevideo xG
0.82Boston River xG
54%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%

From our goals model: Racing Montevideo 1.2 – 0.8 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRacing Montevideo to win ✓49%2.032.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.00 ▲
Draw no betRacing Montevideo (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapBoston River +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗94%1.06–
First team to scoreRacing Montevideo to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Racing Montevideo / FT Racing Montevideo ✓27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.37–

Recent results

Racing Montevideo – last 6

LLWWDW
9 Sepvs Central Espanol2–4L
6 Sep@ Cerro0–1L
4 Sep@ Oriental2–1W
31 Augvs Albion FC1–0W
23 Aug@ Danubio0–0D
15 Augvs Club Nacional2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Boston River – last 6

WLWDWD
9 Sepvs Colón2–0W
6 Sep@ Liverpool Montevideo0–1L
2 Sep@ Liverpool Montevideo1–0W
29 Augvs Cerro1–1D
21 Aug@ Albion FC3–2W
14 Augvs Danubio0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Racing Montevideo v Boston River1–0
5 Mar 2026Boston River v Racing Montevideo1–0
Racing Montevideo vs Boston River head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Boston River?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Boston River?

On our numbers Racing Montevideo have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Boston River 27%.

How many goals will there be in Racing Montevideo vs Boston River?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Racing Montevideo vs Boston River?

Our predicted score is Racing Montevideo 1–1 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Racing Montevideo vs Boston River?

Racing Montevideo vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.