Value bet: Florgrade to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCamacha to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.59
Camacha vs Florgrade: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Camacha v Florgrade in the Taça De Portugal.
Current form
Camacha, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Guarda, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Florgrade, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sanjoanense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Camacha 1–0 Florgrade.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Camacha 1.1 xG, Florgrade 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Camacha 44%, draw 25%, Florgrade 31%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Florgrade to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Camacha 1–0 Florgrade. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Camacha44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Florgrade31%fair 3.19 · @3.60
2.00Expected goals
1.12Camacha xG
0.88Florgrade xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Camacha 1.1 – 0.9 Florgrade expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Camacha vs Florgrade?
On our numbers Camacha have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Florgrade 31%.
How many goals will there be in Camacha vs Florgrade?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Camacha vs Florgrade?
Our predicted score is Camacha 1–0 Florgrade, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Camacha vs Florgrade?
Camacha vs Florgrade (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
