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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sumsel United v PSPS: numbers & prediction

Liga 2 · Indonesia · Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring

Sumsel United

LDWLD
1–2
FT

PSPS

WLLWW
Sumsel United 39%Draw 22%PSPS 39% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.46
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultSumsel United to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90

Sumsel United vs PSPS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sumsel United welcome PSPS to Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring for a Liga 2 fixture on Saturday 26 September (09:30 WAT). In the table, Sumsel United are 4th, among the top four, on 42 points after 27 matches; PSPS are 6th (lower half) with 37.

Current form

Sumsel United, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to PSGC Ciamis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

PSPS, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Persiraja Banda Aceh, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours PSPS, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Sumsel United.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended PSPS 2–0 Sumsel United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sumsel United 1.5 xG, PSPS 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sumsel United 39%, draw 22%, PSPS 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sumsel United 2–1 PSPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sumsel United39%fair 2.55 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
PSPS39%fair 2.56 · @2.70
2.92Expected goals
1.46Sumsel United xG
1.46PSPS xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%

From our goals model: Sumsel United 1.5 – 1.5 PSPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSumsel United to win ✗39%2.552.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betSumsel United (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapPSPS +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreSumsel United to score first ✓47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sumsel United / FT Sumsel United ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.90–

Recent results

Sumsel United – last 6

LDWLDL
19 Sep@ PSGC Ciamis0–2L
13 Sepvs PSMS Medan2–2D
2 Mayvs Persekat3–1W
26 Apr@ PSPS0–2L
12 Aprvs Bekasi City1–1D
28 Mar@ Adhyaksa2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

PSPS – last 6

WLLWWW
19 Sepvs Persiraja Banda Aceh2–1W
11 Sep@ PSIS Semarang1–2L
2 May@ Bekasi City2–3L
26 Aprvs Sumsel United2–0W
19 Aprvs Persekat4–2W
12 Aprvs Persikad Depok FC3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026PSPS v Sumsel United2–0
Sumsel United vs PSPS head-to-head page →

Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Garudayaksa2714103+3052
2Adhyaksa271494+3051
3Bekasi City271287+1544
4Sumsel United271269+742
5Persiraja Banda Aceh2710107+1040
6PSPS279108+537
7PSMS Medan27999+236
8Persikad Depok FC279711-634
9Persekat276912-1527
10Sriwijaya FC270225-782

More Liga 2 predictions

League hub
FT PSGC Ciamis0 Semen Padang2 137%2.55X22%3.30242%2.35 1.0–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 60%@1.65 ✓
FT Tornado Pekanbaru2 Barito Putera2 135%2.30X22%3.20243%2.70 1.2–1.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 54%@1.67 ✗
FT Persikad Depok FC2 Persiraja Banda Aceh1 148%2.00X22%3.30231%3.20 1.5–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 52%@1.75 ✓
FT Persipura Jayapura1 Persis Solo1 133%2.50X21%3.40246%2.45 1.4–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 54%@1.95 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sumsel United vs PSPS?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Sumsel United vs PSPS?

On our numbers Sumsel United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and PSPS 39%.

How many goals will there be in Sumsel United vs PSPS?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sumsel United vs PSPS?

Our predicted score is Sumsel United 2–1 PSPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Sumsel United vs PSPS?

Sumsel United vs PSPS (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.