Persiraja Banda Aceh 63%Draw 24%Sumsel United 13%Expected goals 1.92 – 0.78
63%
Betarazi pick
Persiraja Banda Aceh to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultPersiraja Banda Aceh to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chancePersiraja Banda Aceh or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.66
Persiraja Banda Aceh vs Sumsel United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Persiraja Banda Aceh welcome Sumsel United to Harapan Bangsa Stadium for a Liga 2 fixture on Friday 2 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, Persiraja Banda Aceh are 5th, upper half, on 40 points after 27 matches; Sumsel United are 4th (among the top four) with 42. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Persiraja Banda Aceh, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Persikad Depok FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Sumsel United, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to PSPS, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persiraja Banda Aceh 1.9 xG, Sumsel United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persiraja Banda Aceh 63%, draw 24%, Sumsel United 13%.
Lower-risk option: Persiraja Banda Aceh or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Persiraja Banda Aceh to win (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persiraja Banda Aceh 1–0 Sumsel United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persiraja Banda Aceh63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.50
Sumsel United13%fair 7.62 · @4.10
2.70Expected goals
1.92Persiraja Banda Aceh xG
0.78Sumsel United xG
46%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Persiraja Banda Aceh 1.9 – 0.8 Sumsel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persiraja Banda Aceh to win✗
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Persiraja Banda Aceh or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Persiraja Banda Aceh (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Persiraja Banda Aceh -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Persiraja Banda Aceh to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Persiraja Banda Aceh ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persiraja Banda Aceh / FT Persiraja Banda Aceh✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
12.66
–
Recent results
Persiraja Banda Aceh – last 6
LLLDDD
26 Sep
@ Persikad Depok FC
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ PSPS
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Semen Padang
0–1
L
2 May
vs PSMS Medan
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Persekat
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Garudayaksa
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sumsel United – last 6
LLDWLD
26 Sep
vs PSPS
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ PSGC Ciamis
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs PSMS Medan
2–2
D
2 May
vs Persekat
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ PSPS
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs Bekasi City
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persiraja Banda Aceh and Sumsel United.
What is the prediction for Persiraja Banda Aceh vs Sumsel United?
Our pick is Persiraja Banda Aceh to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Persiraja Banda Aceh vs Sumsel United?
On our numbers Persiraja Banda Aceh have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sumsel United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Persiraja Banda Aceh vs Sumsel United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persiraja Banda Aceh vs Sumsel United?
Our predicted score is Persiraja Banda Aceh 1–0 Sumsel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Persiraja Banda Aceh vs Sumsel United?
Persiraja Banda Aceh vs Sumsel United (Liga 2) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Harapan Bangsa Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.