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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barito Putera v Persela Lamongan: numbers & prediction

Liga 2 · Indonesia · Demang Lehman Stadium
0–1
FT
Barito Putera 43%Draw 23%Persela Lamongan 34% Expected goals 2.03 – 1.80
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.73Odds
2

Value bet: Persela Lamongan to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBarito Putera to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.42

Barito Putera vs Persela Lamongan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Persela Lamongan travel to face Barito Putera on Sunday 4 October in the Liga 2, with Demang Lehman Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:30 WAT. In the table, Barito Putera are 3rd, among the top four, on 53 points after 27 matches; Persela Lamongan are 6th (lower half) with 41. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Barito Putera, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tornado Pekanbaru, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Persela Lamongan, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over PSBS Biak Numfor, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Persela Lamongan 1–1 Barito Putera.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barito Putera 2.0 xG, Persela Lamongan 1.8 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barito Putera 43%, draw 23%, Persela Lamongan 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Persela Lamongan to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barito Putera 2–1 Persela Lamongan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barito Putera43%fair 2.32 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.10
Persela Lamongan34%fair 2.93 · @3.30
3.83Expected goals
2.03Barito Putera xG
1.80Persela Lamongan xG
63%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Barito Putera 2.0 – 1.8 Persela Lamongan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarito Putera to win ✗43%2.322.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.73 ▲
Draw no betBarito Putera (draw no bet) ✗56%1.79–
Asian handicapPersela Lamongan +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗90%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
First team to scoreBarito Putera to score first ✗52%1.93–
Half-time resultBarito Putera ahead at half-time ✗36%2.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barito Putera / FT Barito Putera ✗27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.42–

Recent results

Barito Putera – last 6

DLWWDW
26 Sep@ Tornado Pekanbaru2–2D
20 Sep@ Deltras2–3L
12 Sepvs Persipura Jayapura3–2W
3 Mayvs Persipal8–3W
25 Apr@ Persela Lamongan1–1D
5 Apr@ PSIS Semarang1–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Persela Lamongan – last 6

WWWLDW
27 Sepvs PSBS Biak Numfor6–0W
19 Sep@ Persiba Balikpapan1–0W
13 Sepvs Persis Solo2–0W
3 May@ Tornado Pekanbaru0–5L
25 Aprvs Barito Putera1–1D
18 Aprvs Persipal7–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Persela Lamongan v Barito Putera1–1
Barito Putera vs Persela Lamongan head-to-head page →

Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSS Sleman271683+3456
2Persipura Jayapura271755+2756
3Barito Putera271584+2353
4Tornado Pekanbaru271557+2650
5Deltras2713311+642
6Persela Lamongan271188+841
7Persiku Kudus277614-627
8PSIS Semarang276516-2823
9Persiba Balikpapan274716-1919
10Persipal270720-717

More Liga 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barito Putera vs Persela Lamongan?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Barito Putera vs Persela Lamongan?

On our numbers Barito Putera have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Persela Lamongan 34%.

How many goals will there be in Barito Putera vs Persela Lamongan?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barito Putera vs Persela Lamongan?

Our predicted score is Barito Putera 2–1 Persela Lamongan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Barito Putera vs Persela Lamongan?

Barito Putera vs Persela Lamongan (Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Demang Lehman Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.