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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bekasi City v Sumsel United: numbers & prediction

Liga 2 · Indonesia · Purnawarman Stadium
1–1
FT
Bekasi City 44%Draw 21%Sumsel United 34% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.24
51%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds
2

Value bet: Sumsel United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBekasi City to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 28.83

Bekasi City vs Sumsel United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the Liga 2 brings Bekasi City against Sumsel United at Purnawarman Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Bekasi City are 3rd, among the top four, on 44 points after 27 matches; Sumsel United are 4th (among the top four) with 42. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bekasi City, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Persiraja Banda Aceh, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Sumsel United, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Persikad Depok FC, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Sumsel United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Bekasi City.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Sumsel United 1–1 Bekasi City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bekasi City 1.5 xG, Sumsel United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bekasi City 44%, draw 21%, Sumsel United 34%.
  • Price worth noting: Sumsel United to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bekasi City 2–1 Sumsel United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bekasi City44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Sumsel United34%fair 2.90 · @3.10
2.70Expected goals
1.46Bekasi City xG
1.24Sumsel United xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Bekasi City 1.5 – 1.2 Sumsel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBekasi City to win ✗44%2.252.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.99–
Draw no betBekasi City (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapSumsel United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreBekasi City to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bekasi City / FT Bekasi City ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3%28.83–

Recent results

Bekasi City – last 6

DWLLLD
17 Oct@ Persiraja Banda Aceh0–0D
10 Octvs PSGC Ciamis4–0W
3 Oct@ PSIS Semarang0–1L
27 Sepvs PSMS Medan0–1L
18 Sepvs Persikad Depok FC1–2L
12 Sep@ Persiku Kudus1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sumsel United – last 6

WWWLLD
18 Octvs Persikad Depok FC2–1W
10 Octvs Persiku Kudus5–1W
2 Oct@ Persiraja Banda Aceh2–1W
26 Sepvs PSPS1–2L
19 Sep@ PSGC Ciamis0–2L
13 Sepvs PSMS Medan2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Sumsel United v Bekasi City1–1
Bekasi City vs Sumsel United head-to-head page →

Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Garudayaksa2714103+3052
2Adhyaksa271494+3051
3Bekasi City271287+1544
4Sumsel United271269+742
5Persiraja Banda Aceh2710107+1040
6PSPS279108+537
7PSMS Medan27999+236
8Persikad Depok FC279711-634
9Persekat276912-1527
10Sriwijaya FC270225-782

More Liga 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?

On our numbers Bekasi City have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sumsel United 34%.

How many goals will there be in Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?

Our predicted score is Bekasi City 2–1 Sumsel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?

Bekasi City vs Sumsel United (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Purnawarman Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.