Semen Padang 63%Draw 16%Sumsel United 21%Expected goals 1.88 – 0.91
63%
Betarazi pick
Semen Padang to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultSemen Padang to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.63
Semen Padang vs Sumsel United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 30 October the Liga 2 brings Semen Padang against Sumsel United at Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Semen Padang, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Persiku Kudus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Sumsel United, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bekasi City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Semen Padang 1.9 xG, Sumsel United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Semen Padang 63%, draw 16%, Sumsel United 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Semen Padang to win (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Semen Padang 1–0 Sumsel United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Semen Padang63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw16%fair 6.36 · @3.75
Sumsel United21%fair 4.81 · @3.70
2.79Expected goals
1.88Semen Padang xG
0.91Sumsel United xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Semen Padang 1.9 – 0.9 Sumsel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Semen Padang to win✓
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Semen Padang (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Semen Padang -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Semen Padang to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Semen Padang ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Semen Padang / FT Semen Padang✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
14.63
–
Recent results
Semen Padang – last 6
WDLLWD
24 Oct
@ Persiku Kudus
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs PSMS Medan
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Persikad Depok FC
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs PSPS
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ PSGC Ciamis
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs PSIS Semarang
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sumsel United – last 6
DWWWLL
24 Oct
@ Bekasi City
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Persikad Depok FC
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Persiku Kudus
5–1
W
2 Oct
@ Persiraja Banda Aceh
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs PSPS
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ PSGC Ciamis
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Semen Padang and Sumsel United.
What is the prediction for Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
Our pick is Semen Padang to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
On our numbers Semen Padang have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sumsel United 21%.
How many goals will there be in Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
Our predicted score is Semen Padang 1–0 Sumsel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
Semen Padang vs Sumsel United (Liga 2) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barito Putera2
Persis Solo1
Persiku Kudus1