Value bet: Sumsel United to win @ 2.79 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSumsel United to win ✗41% · @2.79
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PSIS Semarang travel to face Sumsel United on Saturday 7 November in the Liga 2 – the ball rolls at 09:30 WAT. In the table, Sumsel United are 4th, among the top four, on 42 points after 27 matches; PSIS Semarang are 8th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sumsel United, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Semen Padang, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
PSIS Semarang, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Persikad Depok FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sumsel United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for PSIS Semarang.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sumsel United 1.4 xG, PSIS Semarang 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sumsel United 41%, draw 22%, PSIS Semarang 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.56.
Price worth noting: Sumsel United to win @2.79 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sumsel United 1–1 PSIS Semarang. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sumsel United41%fair 2.45 · @2.79
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
PSIS Semarang38%fair 2.66 · @2.19
2.66Expected goals
1.37Sumsel United xG
1.30PSIS Semarang xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sumsel United 1.4 – 1.3 PSIS Semarang expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sumsel United to win✗
41%
2.45
2.79 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.56
Draw no bet
Sumsel United (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
PSIS Semarang +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.11
First team to score
Sumsel United to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sumsel United / FT Sumsel United✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Sumsel United – last 6
LDWWWL
30 Oct
@ Semen Padang
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Bekasi City
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Persikad Depok FC
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Persiku Kudus
5–1
W
2 Oct
@ Persiraja Banda Aceh
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs PSPS
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
PSIS Semarang – last 6
DLDLWD
1 Nov
vs Persikad Depok FC
0–0
D
25 Oct
@ PSMS Medan
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ PSGC Ciamis
0–0
D
9 Oct
vs Persiraja Banda Aceh
1–3
L
3 Oct
vs Bekasi City
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Semen Padang
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sumsel United and PSIS Semarang.
What is the prediction for Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang?
On our numbers Sumsel United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and PSIS Semarang 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang?
Our predicted score is Sumsel United 1–1 PSIS Semarang, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang?
Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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