Santa Cruz 59%Draw 23%Botafogo PB 18%Expected goals 1.50 – 0.66
82%
Betarazi pick
Santa Cruz or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Santa Cruz to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSanta Cruz to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceSanta Cruz or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.77
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Santa Cruz v Botafogo PB in the Serie C. In the table, Santa Cruz are 2nd on 11 points after 6 matches; Botafogo PB are 4th with 5.
Current form
Santa Cruz, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Anápolis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Botafogo PB, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AO Itabaiana, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Botafogo PB, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Santa Cruz.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Botafogo PB 2–2 Santa Cruz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Cruz 1.5 xG, Botafogo PB 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Cruz 59%, draw 23%, Botafogo PB 18%.
Lower-risk option: Santa Cruz or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Santa Cruz to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Santa Cruz or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Cruz 1–0 Botafogo PB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Cruz59%fair 1.68 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Botafogo PB18%fair 5.57 · @3.50
2.16Expected goals
1.50Santa Cruz xG
0.66Botafogo PB xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Santa Cruz 1.5 – 0.7 Botafogo PB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB?
Our pick is Santa Cruz or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB?
On our numbers Santa Cruz have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Botafogo PB 18%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB?
Our predicted score is Santa Cruz 1–0 Botafogo PB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB?
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
