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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Maringá v Santa Cruz: numbers & prediction

Serie C · Brazil

Maringá

WWWDL
0–1
FT

Santa Cruz

WDWLD
Maringá 65%Draw 24%Santa Cruz 12% Expected goals 1.83 – 0.65
65%
Betarazi pick

Maringá to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultMaringá to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceMaringá or draw ✗88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96

Maringá vs Santa Cruz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 12 September the Serie C brings Maringá against Santa Cruz. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Maringá are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Santa Cruz are 2nd with 11. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Maringá, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Floresta, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Santa Cruz, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Botafogo PB, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Maringá, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Santa Cruz.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Maringá 1–1 Santa Cruz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maringá 1.8 xG, Santa Cruz 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Maringá 65%, draw 24%, Santa Cruz 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Maringá or draw (88%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Maringá to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maringá 1–0 Santa Cruz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maringá65%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.10
Santa Cruz12%fair 8.62 · @4.80
2.48Expected goals
1.83Maringá xG
0.65Santa Cruz xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Maringá 1.8 – 0.7 Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMaringá to win ✗65%1.551.67 ▲
Double chanceMaringá or draw ✗88%1.131.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.00
Draw no betMaringá (draw no bet) ✗85%1.18–
Asian handicapMaringá -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreMaringá to score first ✗68%1.48–
Half-time resultMaringá ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Maringá / FT Maringá ✗42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.96–

Recent results

Maringá – last 6

WWWDLD
6 Sep@ Floresta1–0W
29 Aug@ Paysandu1–0W
23 Augvs Barra2–1W
16 Aug@ Confiança1–1D
9 Augvs Amazonas0–3L
28 Jul@ Floresta1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Santa Cruz – last 6

WDWLDL
6 Sepvs Botafogo PB1–0W
29 Aug@ Anápolis1–1D
22 Augvs Caxias2–0W
15 Augvs Maranhão0–1L
8 Aug@ Botafogo PB2–2D
25 Julvs Figueirense0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Maringá v Santa Cruz1–1
Maringá vs Santa Cruz head-to-head page →

Serie C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo PB191036+933
2Brusque19955+632
3Ferroviária19865+730
4Maringá19865+230
5Floresta19865+230
6Inter De Limeira19865+230
7Paysandu19928-129
8Santa Cruz19856+529
9Ypiranga-RS19856+329
10Guarani Campinas19775+1028
11Figueirense19775-328
12Maranhão19766+127
13Amazonas19757-226
14Caxias19676+125
15Ituano19649-322
16Volta Redonda196310-1221
17Barra19568021
18Anápolis195410-519
19AO Itabaiana194510-1317
20Confiança193412-913

More Serie C predictions

League hub
FT Botafogo PB0 Floresta1 162%1.57X23%3.10215%6.00 1.6–0.6xG 1Botafogo PB to win 62%@1.57 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maringá vs Santa Cruz?

Our pick is Maringá to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Maringá vs Santa Cruz?

On our numbers Maringá have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santa Cruz 12%.

How many goals will there be in Maringá vs Santa Cruz?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maringá vs Santa Cruz?

Our predicted score is Maringá 1–0 Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Maringá vs Santa Cruz?

Maringá vs Santa Cruz (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.