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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ferroviária v Paysandu: numbers & prediction

Serie C · Brazil · Arena Fonte Luminosa
1–0
FT
Ferroviária 47%Draw 23%Paysandu 30% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.07
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultFerroviária to win ✓47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21

Ferroviária vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Paysandu travel to face Ferroviária on Sunday 13 September in the Serie C, with Arena Fonte Luminosa the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Ferroviária are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Paysandu are 4th with 5.

Current form

Ferroviária, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Inter De Limeira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Paysandu, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Brusque, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Ferroviária, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Paysandu.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Aug 2026) it ended Ferroviária 4–0 Paysandu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviária 1.4 xG, Paysandu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviária 47%, draw 23%, Paysandu 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviária 1–1 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ferroviária47%fair 2.14 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.00
Paysandu30%fair 3.30 · @3.10
2.48Expected goals
1.41Ferroviária xG
1.07Paysandu xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.4 – 1.1 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFerroviária to win ✓47%2.142.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.73
Draw no betFerroviária (draw no bet) ✓61%1.65–
Asian handicapPaysandu +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreFerroviária to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária ✓26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

Ferroviária – last 6

DWLWDD
5 Sep@ Inter De Limeira3–3D
29 Augvs Confiança1–0W
23 Aug@ Ypiranga-RS0–1L
18 Augvs Paysandu4–0W
8 Aug@ Figueirense2–2D
25 Julvs Maranhão0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Paysandu – last 6

LLWLWL
7 Sepvs Brusque1–2L
29 Augvs Maringá0–1L
22 Aug@ Ituano1–0W
18 Aug@ Ferroviária0–4L
11 Augvs Confiança2–1W
27 Jul@ Amazonas1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Aug 2026Ferroviária v Paysandu4–0
Ferroviária vs Paysandu head-to-head page →

Serie C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo PB191036+933
2Brusque19955+632
3Ferroviária19865+730
4Maringá19865+230
5Floresta19865+230
6Inter De Limeira19865+230
7Paysandu19928-129
8Santa Cruz19856+529
9Ypiranga-RS19856+329
10Guarani Campinas19775+1028
11Figueirense19775-328
12Maranhão19766+127
13Amazonas19757-226
14Caxias19676+125
15Ituano19649-322
16Volta Redonda196310-1221
17Barra19568021
18Anápolis195410-519
19AO Itabaiana194510-1317
20Confiança193412-913

More Serie C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Paysandu?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Ferroviária vs Paysandu?

On our numbers Ferroviária have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paysandu 30%.

How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Paysandu?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Paysandu?

Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ferroviária vs Paysandu?

Ferroviária vs Paysandu (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Luminosa.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.