Ferroviária vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paysandu travel to face Ferroviária on Sunday 13 September in the Serie C, with Arena Fonte Luminosa the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Ferroviária are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Paysandu are 4th with 5.
Current form
Ferroviária, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Inter De Limeira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Paysandu, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Brusque, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ferroviária, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Paysandu.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Aug 2026) it ended Ferroviária 4–0 Paysandu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviária 1.4 xG, Paysandu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviária 47%, draw 23%, Paysandu 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviária 1–1 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferroviária47%fair 2.14 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.00
Paysandu30%fair 3.30 · @3.10
2.48Expected goals
1.41Ferroviária xG
1.07Paysandu xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.4 – 1.1 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Paysandu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paysandu 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Paysandu?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Paysandu?
Ferroviária vs Paysandu (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Luminosa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.