Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Maringá to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMaringá to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceMaringá or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Maringá vs Botafogo PB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Serie C brings Maringá against Botafogo PB. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Maringá are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Botafogo PB are 4th with 5.
Current form
Maringá, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Santa Cruz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Botafogo PB, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Floresta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Botafogo PB 2–1 Maringá.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maringá 1.8 xG, Botafogo PB 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maringá 59%, draw 24%, Botafogo PB 16%.
Lower-risk option: Maringá or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Maringá to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Maringá or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maringá 1–0 Botafogo PB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maringá59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Botafogo PB16%fair 6.11 · @3.30
2.69Expected goals
1.83Maringá xG
0.86Botafogo PB xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Maringá 1.8 – 0.9 Botafogo PB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maringá vs Botafogo PB?
Our pick is Maringá or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maringá vs Botafogo PB?
On our numbers Maringá have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Botafogo PB 16%.
How many goals will there be in Maringá vs Botafogo PB?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maringá vs Botafogo PB?
Our predicted score is Maringá 1–0 Botafogo PB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Maringá vs Botafogo PB?
Maringá vs Botafogo PB (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
