Value bet: Santa Cruz to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanta Cruz to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.78
Floresta vs Santa Cruz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Floresta welcome Santa Cruz for a Serie C fixture on Saturday 26 September (21:00 WAT). In the table, Floresta are 3rd on 5 points after 6 matches; Santa Cruz are 2nd with 11.
Current form
Floresta, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Santa Cruz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Santa Cruz, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Floresta, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Sep 2026) it ended Santa Cruz 1–0 Floresta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Floresta 0.9 xG, Santa Cruz 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Floresta 36%, draw 26%, Santa Cruz 39%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Santa Cruz to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Floresta 0–0 Santa Cruz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Floresta36%fair 2.82 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.70
Santa Cruz39%fair 2.59 · @3.00
1.88Expected goals
0.91Floresta xG
0.97Santa Cruz xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Floresta 0.9 – 1.0 Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Floresta vs Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Floresta vs Santa Cruz?
On our numbers Floresta have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Santa Cruz 39%.
How many goals will there be in Floresta vs Santa Cruz?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floresta vs Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is Floresta 0–0 Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Floresta vs Santa Cruz?
Floresta vs Santa Cruz (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
