Skeid vs Valerenga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Thursday 17 September: Skeid v Valerenga in the NM Cupen.
Current form
Skeid, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Junkeren, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Valerenga, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lillestrom, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Skeid 2.5 xG, Valerenga 4.5 xG – a total near 7.0. That is an open game on paper: 97% for three or more goals, 74% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Skeid 15%, draw 17%, Valerenga 68%.
GG/NG: GG (74%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Skeid 2–4 Valerenga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Skeid15%fair 6.49 · @6.00
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @5.00
Valerenga68%fair 1.47 · @1.30
7.00Expected goals
2.55Skeid xG
4.45Valerenga xG
74%Both score
97%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–45%
2–34%
2–54%
2–74%
3–44%
1–44%
From our goals model: Skeid 2.5 – 4.5 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valerenga to win✓
68%
1.47
1.30
Double chance
Valerenga or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
74%
1.34
1.35
Draw no bet
Valerenga (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Valerenga -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Valerenga to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Valerenga ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valerenga / FT Valerenga✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–4✗
5%
20.63
–
Recent results
Skeid – last 6
LWDWLL
13 Sep
@ Junkeren
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Kjelsås
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ TryggLade
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Nordstrand
4–1
W
16 Aug
vs Levanger
0–5
L
9 Aug
@ Rana
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Valerenga – last 6
LDLWDL
12 Sep
@ Lillestrom
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Molde
3–4
L
23 Aug
@ Christiania BK
7–2
W
16 Aug
@ Aalesund
5–5
D
8 Aug
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
3.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Skeid and Valerenga.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Skeid vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Skeid have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Valerenga 68%.
How many goals will there be in Skeid vs Valerenga?
We expect about 7.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 97% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Skeid vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Skeid 2–4 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 7.0 goals in total.
When is Skeid vs Valerenga?
Skeid vs Valerenga (NM Cupen) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
