Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Wednesday 30 September: Follo v Sarpsborg 08 FF in the NM Cupen, played at Ski Stadion.
Current form
Follo, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kjelsås, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Sarpsborg 08 FF, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to KFUM Oslo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Follo 0.5 xG, Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Follo 9%, draw 19%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 72%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Follo 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Follo9%fair 11.42 · @19.00
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @6.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF72%fair 1.38 · @1.12
2.50Expected goals
0.52Follo xG
1.98Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–216%
0–311%
1–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Follo 0.5 – 2.0 Sarpsborg 08 FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win✓
72%
1.38
1.12
Double chance
Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.00
Draw no bet
Sarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Sarpsborg 08 FF -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Sarpsborg 08 FF to score first✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Sarpsborg 08 FF ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarpsborg 08 FF / FT Sarpsborg 08 FF✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.96
–
Recent results
Follo – last 6
DLLWLD
26 Sep
@ Kjelsås
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Eidsvold
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Levanger
2–5
L
5 Sep
vs Tromsdalen Uil
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Hønefoss
1–2
L
26 Aug
@ Rana
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6
LDDDWL
18 Sep
vs KFUM Oslo
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Fredrikstad
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Valerenga
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Tromso
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Sparta Sarpsborg
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sandefjord
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Follo and Sarpsborg 08 FF.
What is the prediction for Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
On our numbers Follo have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 72%.
How many goals will there be in Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our predicted score is Follo 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ski Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
