Saudi Arabia 55%Draw 24%Iraq 21%Expected goals 1.75 – 1.00
79%
Betarazi pick
Saudi Arabia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 57% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSaudi Arabia to win ✓55% · @1.85
Double chanceSaudi Arabia or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Saudi Arabia vs Iraq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Iraq travel to face Saudi Arabia on Tuesday 29 September in the Gulf Cup Of Nations, with King Abdullah Sports City the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Saudi Arabia are 1st on 9 points after 3 matches; Iraq are 3rd with 4.
Current form
Saudi Arabia, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Oman, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Iraq, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Kuwait, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Saudi Arabia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Iraq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saudi Arabia 1.8 xG, Iraq 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saudi Arabia 55%, draw 24%, Iraq 21%.
Lower-risk option: Saudi Arabia or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Saudi Arabia or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saudi Arabia 1–0 Iraq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saudi Arabia55%fair 1.82 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.90
Iraq21%fair 4.66 · @4.00
2.75Expected goals
1.75Saudi Arabia xG
1.00Iraq xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Saudi Arabia 1.8 – 1.0 Iraq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saudi Arabia to win✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Double chance
Saudi Arabia or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Saudi Arabia (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Iraq +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Saudi Arabia to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saudi Arabia / FT Saudi Arabia✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Saudi Arabia – last 6
WWDLDD
26 Sep
@ Oman
3–0
W
23 Sep
vs Kuwait
1–0
W
27 Jun
@ Cape Verde Islands
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Spain
0–4
L
15 Jun
vs Uruguay
1–1
D
10 Jun
vs Senegal
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Iraq – last 6
WDLLLL
26 Sep
@ Kuwait
3–2
W
23 Sep
vs Oman
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Senegal
0–5
L
22 Jun
@ France
0–3
L
16 Jun
vs Norway
1–4
L
10 Jun
vs Venezuela
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saudi Arabia and Iraq.
Our pick is Saudi Arabia or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Saudi Arabia vs Iraq?
On our numbers Saudi Arabia have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Iraq 21%.
How many goals will there be in Saudi Arabia vs Iraq?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saudi Arabia vs Iraq?
Our predicted score is Saudi Arabia 1–0 Iraq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Saudi Arabia vs Iraq?
Saudi Arabia vs Iraq (Gulf Cup Of Nations) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
