Shatin 40%Draw 18%Hong Kong FC 42%Expected goals 1.63 – 1.69
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Hong Kong FC to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHong Kong FC to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Shatin vs Hong Kong FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shatin welcome Hong Kong FC for a League Cup fixture on Thursday 1 October (12:00 WAT).
Current form
Shatin, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Warriors, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.6 conceded per game.
Hong Kong FC, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Kowloon City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hong Kong FC, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.6 for Shatin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shatin 1.6 xG, Hong Kong FC 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shatin 40%, draw 18%, Hong Kong FC 42%.
Price worth noting: Hong Kong FC to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shatin 1–2 Hong Kong FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shatin40%fair 2.52 · @2.10
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.00
Hong Kong FC42%fair 2.38 · @2.60
3.32Expected goals
1.63Shatin xG
1.69Hong Kong FC xG
57%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Shatin 1.6 – 1.7 Hong Kong FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hong Kong FC to win✗
42%
2.38
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Hong Kong FC (draw no bet)
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Shatin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Hong Kong FC to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hong Kong FC / FT Hong Kong FC✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Shatin – last 5
LLLLW
19 Sep
vs Warriors
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Kowloon City
2–3
L
6 Sep
vs North District
0–5
L
28 Aug
@ Warriors
0–3
L
21 Aug
@ Eastern
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Hong Kong FC – last 6
LWLLDW
19 Sep
@ Kowloon City
1–4
L
12 Sep
@ Wofoo Tai Po
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Warriors
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Southern District
2–3
L
16 May
@ Kowloon City
1–1
D
10 May
vs BC Rangers
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shatin and Hong Kong FC.
What is the prediction for Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
On our numbers Shatin have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Hong Kong FC 42%.
How many goals will there be in Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
Our predicted score is Shatin 1–2 Hong Kong FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
Shatin vs Hong Kong FC (League Cup) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
North District2
Southern District1