Value bet: Bari to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBari to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.38
Potenza vs Bari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 27 October the Coppa Italia Serie C brings Potenza against Bari at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT.
Current form
Potenza, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Team Altamura, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Bari, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Casertana, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Potenza, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Bari.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Sep 2026) it ended Bari 0–0 Potenza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Potenza 1.2 xG, Bari 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Potenza 38%, draw 23%, Bari 39%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Bari to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Potenza 1–1 Bari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Potenza38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Bari39%fair 2.55 · @2.80
2.50Expected goals
1.24Potenza xG
1.26Bari xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Potenza 1.2 – 1.3 Bari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Potenza vs Bari?
On our numbers Potenza have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bari 39%.
How many goals will there be in Potenza vs Bari?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Potenza vs Bari?
Our predicted score is Potenza 1–1 Bari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Potenza vs Bari?
Potenza vs Bari (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Team Altamura0
Gubbio0
Savoia2
Sorrento0