Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultToluca to win ✓49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Toluca vs Monterrey: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monterrey travel to face Toluca on Monday 7 September in the Leagues Cup – the ball rolls at 02:15 WAT.
Current form
Toluca, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Leon, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Monterrey, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Club America, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Toluca, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Monterrey.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toluca 1.6 xG, Monterrey 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca 49%, draw 23%, Monterrey 29%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca 1–1 Monterrey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toluca49%fair 2.05 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10
Monterrey29%fair 3.49 · @3.10
2.80Expected goals
1.62Toluca xG
1.18Monterrey xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Toluca 1.6 – 1.2 Monterrey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca to win✓
49%
2.05
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Toluca (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Monterrey +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Toluca to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca / FT Toluca✓
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Toluca – last 6
WWWWDW
3 Sep
vs Leon
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs FC Juarez
4–0
W
27 Aug
vs Austin
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Club Queretaro
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Atlante FC
0–0
D
13 Aug
vs FC Dallas
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Monterrey – last 6
DLWLWW
3 Sep
@ Club America
2–2
D
31 Aug
vs Atletico San Luis
1–3
L
26 Aug
vs Chicago Fire
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Leon
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs FC Juarez
6–1
W
13 Aug
vs Nashville SC
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca and Monterrey.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Toluca vs Monterrey?
On our numbers Toluca have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Monterrey 29%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca vs Monterrey?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca vs Monterrey?
Our predicted score is Toluca 1–1 Monterrey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Toluca vs Monterrey?
Toluca vs Monterrey (Leagues Cup) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
