Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultSJK to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceSJK or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.38
SJK vs Mariehamn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SJK welcome Mariehamn to OmaSP Stadion for a Veikkausliiga fixture on Friday 18 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, SJK are 4th on 27 points after 27 matches; Mariehamn are 6th with 19.
Current form
SJK, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FF Jaro, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Mariehamn, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Turku PS, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mariehamn, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for SJK.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Mariehamn 2–0 SJK. The last 2 head-to-heads: SJK 1 win, Mariehamn 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SJK 1.8 xG, Mariehamn 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SJK 59%, draw 23%, Mariehamn 18%.
Lower-risk option: SJK or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SJK or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: SJK 1–0 Mariehamn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SJK59%fair 1.68 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.60
Mariehamn18%fair 5.70 · @4.20
2.58Expected goals
1.75SJK xG
0.83Mariehamn xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: SJK 1.8 – 0.8 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is SJK or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win SJK vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers SJK have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mariehamn 18%.
How many goals will there be in SJK vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SJK vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is SJK 1–0 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is SJK vs Mariehamn?
SJK vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at OmaSP Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
