Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultIlves to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Mariehamn vs Ilves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Veikkausliiga brings Mariehamn against Ilves. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Mariehamn are 6th on 19 points after 27 matches; Ilves are 2nd with 38. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mariehamn, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to SJK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ilves, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Turku PS, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mariehamn, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Ilves.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Ilves 2–0 Mariehamn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mariehamn 1.4 xG, Ilves 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mariehamn 34%, draw 21%, Ilves 44%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mariehamn 1–1 Ilves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mariehamn34%fair 2.90 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.50
Ilves44%fair 2.25 · @2.20
2.94Expected goals
1.36Mariehamn xG
1.58Ilves xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Mariehamn 1.4 – 1.6 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mariehamn vs Ilves?
On our numbers Mariehamn have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ilves 44%.
How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs Ilves?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs Ilves?
Our predicted score is Mariehamn 1–1 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mariehamn vs Ilves?
Mariehamn vs Ilves (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
