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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ilves v SJK: numbers & prediction

Veikkausliiga · Finland · Tammela Stadium

Ilves

DWWWL
2–0
FT

SJK

WWDDD
Ilves 59%Draw 16%SJK 25% Expected goals 1.80 – 1.01
59%
Betarazi pick

Ilves to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultIlves to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Ilves vs SJK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Ilves v SJK in the Veikkausliiga, played at Tammela Stadium. In the table, Ilves are 2nd on 38 points after 27 matches; SJK are 4th with 27.

Current form

Ilves, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mariehamn, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

SJK, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lahti, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Ilves 2–2 SJK. The last 3 head-to-heads: Ilves 1 win, SJK 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ilves 1.8 xG, SJK 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ilves 59%, draw 16%, SJK 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ilves to win (59%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilves 1–0 SJK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ilves59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw16%fair 6.36 · @3.60
SJK25%fair 4.02 · @3.50
2.81Expected goals
1.80Ilves xG
1.01SJK xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%

From our goals model: Ilves 1.8 – 1.0 SJK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIlves to win ✓59%1.681.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.29 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.53
Draw no betIlves (draw no bet) ✓71%1.42–
Asian handicapSJK +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreIlves to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultIlves ahead at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ilves / FT Ilves ✓35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Ilves – last 6

DWWWLL
10 Oct@ Mariehamn1–1D
19 Sep@ Turku PS3–0W
12 Sepvs Lahti3–1W
8 Sepvs FF Jaro2–0W
31 Augvs HJK Helsinki1–2L
22 Augvs VPS0–1L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

SJK – last 6

WWDDDL
9 Octvs Lahti1–0W
18 Sepvs Mariehamn2–1W
12 Sep@ FF Jaro1–1D
8 Sep@ Turku PS0–0D
31 Aug@ AC Oulu0–0D
21 Augvs Lahti1–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jun 2026Ilves v SJK2–2
2 May 2026SJK v Ilves1–1
18 Feb 2026Ilves v SJK3–1
Ilves vs SJK head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

More Veikkausliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ilves vs SJK?

Our pick is Ilves to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Ilves vs SJK?

On our numbers Ilves have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 16% and SJK 25%.

How many goals will there be in Ilves vs SJK?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ilves vs SJK?

Our predicted score is Ilves 1–0 SJK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ilves vs SJK?

Ilves vs SJK (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.