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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gnistan v KuPS: numbers & prediction

Veikkausliiga · Finland · Markku.fi Areena

Gnistan

DWWDL
1–1
FT

KuPS

LWLDW
Gnistan 20%Draw 17%KuPS 63% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.98
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: KuPS to win @ 1.88 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKuPS to win ✗63% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Gnistan vs KuPS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

KuPS travel to face Gnistan on Tuesday 8 September in the Veikkausliiga, with Markku.fi Areena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Gnistan are 5th on 46 points after 32 matches; KuPS are 3rd with 53.

Current form

Gnistan, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Turku PS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

KuPS, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Inter Turku, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Gnistan, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for KuPS.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Gnistan 0–1 KuPS.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gnistan 1.0 xG, KuPS 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gnistan 20%, draw 17%, KuPS 63%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: KuPS to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gnistan 0–2 KuPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gnistan20%fair 4.99 · @3.50
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @3.65
KuPS63%fair 1.58 · @1.88
2.95Expected goals
0.97Gnistan xG
1.98KuPS xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–110%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Gnistan 1.0 – 2.0 KuPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKuPS to win ✗63%1.581.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83%1.201.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.50
Draw no betKuPS (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapKuPS -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scoreKuPS to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultKuPS ahead at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT KuPS / FT KuPS ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Gnistan – last 6

DWWDLW
31 Augvs Turku PS1–1D
23 Aug@ HJK Helsinki3–2W
17 Augvs Ilves3–2W
7 Aug@ SJK2–2D
1 Augvs KuPS0–1L
26 Jul@ Inter Turku2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

KuPS – last 6

LWLDWL
31 Aug@ Inter Turku0–1L
27 Augvs Shamrock Rovers1–0W
23 Augvs Mariehamn2–4L
20 Aug@ Shamrock Rovers1–1D
16 Aug@ Lahti2–1W
13 Aug@ Universitatea Craiova1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Gnistan v KuPS0–1
Gnistan vs KuPS head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

More Veikkausliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gnistan vs KuPS?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Gnistan vs KuPS?

On our numbers Gnistan have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 17% and KuPS 63%.

How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs KuPS?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gnistan vs KuPS?

Our predicted score is Gnistan 0–2 KuPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Gnistan vs KuPS?

Gnistan vs KuPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.