Carabobo FC 59%Draw 25%Estudiantes de Merida FC 16%Expected goals 1.74 – 0.79
59%
Betarazi pick
Carabobo FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultCarabobo FC to win ✓59% · @1.62
Double chanceCarabobo FC or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.23
Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Carabobo FC welcome Estudiantes de Merida FC to Estadio Misael Delgado for a Primera División fixture on Monday 7 September (23:00 WAT). In the table, Carabobo FC are 1st, leading the league, on 11 points after 5 matches; Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Current form
Carabobo FC, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Rayo Zuliano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with UCV, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Estudiantes de Merida FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Carabobo FC.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Estudiantes de Merida FC 0–2 Carabobo FC. The last 3 head-to-heads: Carabobo FC 2 wins, Estudiantes de Merida FC 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carabobo FC 1.7 xG, Estudiantes de Merida FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carabobo FC 59%, draw 25%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 16%.
Lower-risk option: Carabobo FC or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Carabobo FC to win (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carabobo FC 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carabobo FC59%fair 1.70 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.60
Estudiantes de Merida FC16%fair 6.28 · @5.00
2.53Expected goals
1.74Carabobo FC xG
0.79Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Carabobo FC 1.7 – 0.8 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Carabobo FC to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Carabobo FC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is Carabobo FC 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Misael Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
