Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
1
Value bet: TPV to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTPV to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
TPV vs KuPS Akatemia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
TPV welcome KuPS Akatemia to Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass for a Ykkönen fixture on Sunday 13 September (13:00 WAT). In the table, TPV are 10th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 27 matches; KuPS Akatemia are 12th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
TPV, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to PKKU, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
KuPS Akatemia, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to SalPa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended TPV 3–1 KuPS Akatemia. The last 2 head-to-heads: TPV 1 win, KuPS Akatemia 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give TPV 2.3 xG, KuPS Akatemia 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – TPV 58%, draw 21%, KuPS Akatemia 21%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: TPV to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: TPV 2–1 KuPS Akatemia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
TPV58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.60
KuPS Akatemia21%fair 4.67 · @3.20
3.59Expected goals
2.26TPV xG
1.33KuPS Akatemia xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: TPV 2.3 – 1.3 KuPS Akatemia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win TPV vs KuPS Akatemia?
On our numbers TPV have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and KuPS Akatemia 21%.
How many goals will there be in TPV vs KuPS Akatemia?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TPV vs KuPS Akatemia?
Our predicted score is TPV 2–1 KuPS Akatemia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is TPV vs KuPS Akatemia?
TPV vs KuPS Akatemia (Ykkönen) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
