On Saturday 26 September the Ykkönen brings Rops against SalPa at Keskuskentta. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT. In the table, Rops are 2nd, among the top four, on 48 points after 27 matches; SalPa are 3rd (among the top four) with 48. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rops, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to PKKU, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
SalPa, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 6–4 win over Tampere United, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours SalPa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Rops.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Rops 2–2 SalPa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Rops 0 wins, SalPa 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rops 1.9 xG, SalPa 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rops 42%, draw 19%, SalPa 39%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rops 1–1 SalPa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rops42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.90
SalPa39%fair 2.57 · @2.55
3.65Expected goals
1.86Rops xG
1.79SalPa xG
71%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Rops 1.9 – 1.8 SalPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Rops vs SalPa?
On our numbers Rops have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 19% and SalPa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Rops vs SalPa?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rops vs SalPa?
Our predicted score is Rops 1–1 SalPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Rops vs SalPa?
Rops vs SalPa (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Keskuskentta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
