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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Racing Club v Boca Juniors: numbers & prediction

Copa Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
2–3
FT
Racing Club 35%Draw 25%Boca Juniors 40% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.04
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
2.00Odds
1

Value bet: Racing Club to win @ 3.70 – our chance 35% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBoca Juniors to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.18

Racing Club vs Boca Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Racing Club v Boca Juniors in the Copa Argentina, played at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito.

Current form

Racing Club, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sarmiento Junin, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Boca Juniors, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Lorenzo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Boca Juniors, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Racing Club.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Aug 2026) it ended Racing Club 1–1 Boca Juniors. The last 2 head-to-heads: Racing Club 0 wins, Boca Juniors 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Racing Club 1.0 xG, Boca Juniors 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Club 35%, draw 25%, Boca Juniors 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Racing Club to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Club 1–1 Boca Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Racing Club35%fair 2.83 · @3.70
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.90
Boca Juniors40%fair 2.50 · @2.10
2.00Expected goals
0.96Racing Club xG
1.04Boca Juniors xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%

From our goals model: Racing Club 1.0 – 1.0 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoca Juniors to win ✓40%2.502.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.882.00 ▲
Draw no betBoca Juniors (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapRacing Club +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗95%1.06–
First team to scoreBoca Juniors to score first ✗45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%14.18–

Recent results

Racing Club – last 6

WLLLDW
19 Sepvs Sarmiento Junin3–1W
14 Sep@ Huracan1–2L
7 Sepvs Atletico Tucuman1–2L
31 Aug@ Independ. Rivadavia1–3L
24 Augvs Boca Juniors1–1D
19 Augvs Belgrano Cordoba1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Boca Juniors – last 6

WDWWDD
20 Sep@ San Lorenzo2–0W
16 Sep@ Sao Paulo1–1D
12 Sepvs Central Cordoba de Santiago3–1W
9 Sepvs Sao Paulo1–0W
5 Sep@ Gimnasia M.2–2D
3 Sep@ Velez Sarsfield0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Aug 2026Racing Club v Boca Juniors1–1
21 Feb 2026Boca Juniors v Racing Club0–0
Racing Club vs Boca Juniors head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?

On our numbers Racing Club have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Boca Juniors 40%.

How many goals will there be in Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?

Our predicted score is Racing Club 1–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?

Racing Club vs Boca Juniors (Copa Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.