Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.90
Samtredia vs Rustavi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rustavi travel to face Samtredia on Saturday 26 September in the David Kipiani Cup, with Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Samtredia, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Merani Martvili, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Rustavi, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Iberia 1999, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Samtredia, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Rustavi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samtredia 0.9 xG, Rustavi 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samtredia 22%, draw 20%, Rustavi 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rustavi to win (58%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samtredia 0–1 Rustavi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samtredia22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.70
Rustavi58%fair 1.73 · @1.83
2.59Expected goals
0.91Samtredia xG
1.68Rustavi xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Samtredia 0.9 – 1.7 Rustavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rustavi to win✓
58%
1.73
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Rustavi (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Samtredia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Rustavi to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rustavi / FT Rustavi✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.90
–
Recent results
Samtredia – last 6
WLWWWW
20 Sep
vs Merani Martvili
5–0
W
16 Sep
@ Kolkheti Poti
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Gareji
6–1
W
7 Sep
@ Telavi
3–0
W
2 Sep
vs FC Iberia 1999
2–0
W
28 Aug
vs Odishi 1919
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rustavi – last 6
LWDLDW
21 Sep
vs FC Iberia 1999
0–2
L
14 Sep
@ Meshakhte
1–0
W
9 Sep
@ Spaeri
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Dinamo Batumi
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Samgurali
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Gagra
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samtredia and Rustavi.
Our pick is Rustavi to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Samtredia vs Rustavi?
On our numbers Samtredia have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rustavi 58%.
How many goals will there be in Samtredia vs Rustavi?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samtredia vs Rustavi?
Our predicted score is Samtredia 0–1 Rustavi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Samtredia vs Rustavi?
Samtredia vs Rustavi (David Kipiani Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
