Value bet: Palmeiras to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras in the Copa Do Brasil.
Current form
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atletico Paranaense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Palmeiras, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Remo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Palmeiras, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Vasco DA Gama.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Nov 2026) it ended Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. The last 3 head-to-heads: Vasco DA Gama 1 win, Palmeiras 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.2 xG, Palmeiras 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 36%, draw 23%, Palmeiras 42%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Palmeiras to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasco DA Gama36%fair 2.81 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.25
Palmeiras42%fair 2.41 · @2.70
2.45Expected goals
1.16Vasco DA Gama xG
1.29Palmeiras xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.2 – 1.3 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palmeiras 42%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?
Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
