Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓42% · @5.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.76
Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Cup brings Minija against Kauno Žalgiris. Kick-off: 12:15 WAT.
Current form
Minija, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Kauno Žalgiris II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kauno Žalgiris, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Šiauliai, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Minija, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.5 for Kauno Žalgiris.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Minija 1.9 xG, Kauno Žalgiris 2.0 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Minija 38%, draw 20%, Kauno Žalgiris 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Minija 1–2 Kauno Žalgiris. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Minija38%fair 2.66 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @4.50
Kauno Žalgiris42%fair 2.38 · @5.50
3.83Expected goals
1.86Minija xG
1.97Kauno Žalgiris xG
58%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Minija 1.9 – 2.0 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kauno Žalgiris to win✓
42%
2.38
5.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
–
Draw no bet
Kauno Žalgiris (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Minija +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
First team to score
Kauno Žalgiris to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Kauno Žalgiris ahead at half-time✓
34%
2.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kauno Žalgiris / FT Kauno Žalgiris✓
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.76
–
Recent results
Minija – last 6
WWWWWW
2 Oct
vs Kauno Žalgiris II
5–0
W
19 Sep
vs Neptūną Klaipėda
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Dainava
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Transinvest 2
3–0
W
1 Sep
vs Dainava
3–2
W
28 Aug
@ FA Šiauliai II
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kauno Žalgiris – last 6
WLWWWW
20 Sep
@ Šiauliai
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Panevėžys
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Suduva Marijampole
5–1
W
6 Sep
vs Džiugas Telšiai
5–0
W
3 Sep
@ Šiauliai
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minija and Kauno Žalgiris.
What is the prediction for Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers Minija have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kauno Žalgiris 42%.
How many goals will there be in Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our predicted score is Minija 1–2 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
