Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpezia to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chanceSpezia or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Spezia vs Livorno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spezia welcome Livorno to Stadio Alberto Picco for a Coppa Italia Serie C fixture on Wednesday 28 October (18:00 WAT).
Current form
Spezia, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Latina, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Livorno, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sambenedettese, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Spezia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Livorno.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Sep 2026) it ended Spezia 2–0 Livorno.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spezia 2.0 xG, Livorno 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spezia 63%, draw 22%, Livorno 15%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spezia 2–0 Livorno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spezia63%fair 1.58 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.60
Livorno15%fair 6.74 · @4.60
2.88Expected goals
2.01Spezia xG
0.87Livorno xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Spezia 2.0 – 0.9 Livorno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Spezia vs Livorno?
On our numbers Spezia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Livorno 15%.
How many goals will there be in Spezia vs Livorno?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spezia vs Livorno?
Our predicted score is Spezia 2–0 Livorno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Spezia vs Livorno?
Spezia vs Livorno (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Picco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dolomiti Bellunesi0
Desenzano Calvina1
Athletic Carpi3
Ravenna3
Campobasso FC2
Latina0