Kaya W 7%Draw 16%Melbourne City W 76%Expected goals 1.03 – 3.11
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 3.04 – our chance 55% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +68%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMelbourne City W to win ✓76% · @1.01
Double chanceMelbourne City W or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @3.04
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.16
Kaya W vs Melbourne City W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kaya W welcome Melbourne City W to Markaziy Stadium for a AFC Women's Champions League fixture on Wednesday 4 November (11:30 WAT).
Current form
Kaya W, last 4: LDWW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Beijing Beikong W, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Melbourne City W, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nasaf W, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kaya W 1.0 xG, Melbourne City W 3.1 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kaya W 7%, draw 16%, Melbourne City W 76%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 3.04.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @3.04 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaya W 1–3 Melbourne City W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kaya W7%fair 13.66 · @22.00
Draw16%fair 6.17 · @11.25
Melbourne City W76%fair 1.31 · @1.01
4.14Expected goals
1.03Kaya W xG
3.11Melbourne City W xG
55%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–38%
0–38%
1–28%
0–28%
1–46%
0–46%
From our goals model: Kaya W 1.0 – 3.1 Melbourne City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne City W to win✓
76%
1.31
1.01
Double chance
Melbourne City W or draw✓
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
3.04 ▲
Draw no bet
Melbourne City W (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Melbourne City W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.13
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
2.08 ▲
First team to score
Melbourne City W to score first✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Melbourne City W ahead at half-time✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne City W / FT Melbourne City W✗
56%
1.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.16
–
Recent results
Kaya W – last 4
LDWW
1 Nov
@ Beijing Beikong W
0–6
L
23 Aug
vs TSL FC W
0–0
D
20 Aug
@ Phnom Penh W
5–1
W
17 Aug
vs Ilbirs W
6–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Melbourne City W – last 6
LWWLWW
1 Nov
vs Nasaf W
0–2
L
25 Oct
@ Sydney FC W
5–0
W
18 Oct
@ Wellington Phoenix W
2–1
W
20 May
vs Tokyo Verdy Beleza W
1–3
L
16 May
vs Wellington Phoenix W
3–1
W
9 May
vs Melbourne Victory W
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaya W and Melbourne City W.
What is the prediction for Kaya W vs Melbourne City W?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Kaya W vs Melbourne City W?
On our numbers Kaya W have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Melbourne City W 76%.
How many goals will there be in Kaya W vs Melbourne City W?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaya W vs Melbourne City W?
Our predicted score is Kaya W 1–3 Melbourne City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Kaya W vs Melbourne City W?
Kaya W vs Melbourne City W (AFC Women's Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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