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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Melbourne City W v Beijing Beikong W: numbers & prediction

Melbourne City W 22%Draw 49%Beijing Beikong W 29% Expected goals 1.74 – 1.92
78%
Betarazi pick

Beijing Beikong W or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.32 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.32Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.68 – our chance 49% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +82%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗49% · @3.68
Double chanceBeijing Beikong W or draw ✗78% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗7% · fair 13.92

Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Beijing Beikong W travel to face Melbourne City W on Saturday 7 November in the AFC Women's Champions League – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT.

Current form

Melbourne City W, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Kaya W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Melbourne City W 1.7 xG, Beijing Beikong W 1.9 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Melbourne City W 22%, draw 49%, Beijing Beikong W 29%.
  • Lower-risk option: Beijing Beikong W or draw (78%) at 1.32.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.38.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.68 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Beijing Beikong W or draw (78%, odds 1.32 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Melbourne City W 1–1 Beijing Beikong W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Melbourne City W22%fair 4.61 · @2.76
Draw49%fair 2.02 · @3.68
Beijing Beikong W29%fair 3.46 · @2.05
3.66Expected goals
1.74Melbourne City W xG
1.92Beijing Beikong W xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%

From our goals model: Melbourne City W 1.7 – 1.9 Beijing Beikong W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗49%2.023.68 ▲
Double chanceBeijing Beikong W or draw ✗78%1.281.32
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗69%1.451.38
Draw no betBeijing Beikong W (draw no bet) ✗57%1.75–
Asian handicapMelbourne City W +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.481.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.901.66
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.411.25
First team to scoreBeijing Beikong W to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗35%2.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beijing Beikong W / FT Beijing Beikong W ✗26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗7%13.92–

Recent results

Melbourne City W – last 6

WLWWLW
4 Nov@ Kaya W7–0W
1 Novvs Nasaf W0–2L
25 Oct@ Sydney FC W5–0W
18 Oct@ Wellington Phoenix W2–1W
20 Mayvs Tokyo Verdy Beleza W1–3L
16 Mayvs Wellington Phoenix W3–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Beijing Beikong W – last 2

WW
4 Nov@ Nasaf W2–1W
1 Novvs Kaya W6–0W
4.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Melbourne City W and Beijing Beikong W.

Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W head-to-head page →

More AFC Women's Champions League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W?

Our pick is Beijing Beikong W or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W?

On our numbers Melbourne City W have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 49% and Beijing Beikong W 29%.

How many goals will there be in Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W?

Our predicted score is Melbourne City W 1–1 Beijing Beikong W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W?

Melbourne City W vs Beijing Beikong W (AFC Women's Champions League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.