Juventud vs Racing Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Racing Montevideo travel to face Juventud on Thursday 17 September in the Copa Uruguay – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.
Current form
Juventud, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Danubio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Racing Montevideo, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Boston River, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventud 1.6 xG, Racing Montevideo 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud 37%, draw 25%, Racing Montevideo 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud 1–1 Racing Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventud37%fair 2.67 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.80
Racing Montevideo38%fair 2.64 · @2.70
3.25Expected goals
1.62Juventud xG
1.63Racing Montevideo xG
57%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Juventud 1.6 – 1.6 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Montevideo to win✗
38%
2.64
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.85
Draw no bet
Racing Montevideo (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Juventud +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Racing Montevideo to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Montevideo / FT Racing Montevideo✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.98
–
Recent results
Juventud – last 6
DDLWWW
13 Sep
vs Danubio
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Club Nacional
2–2
D
2 Sep
@ Central Espanol
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Deportivo Maldonado
2–0
W
26 Aug
vs Oriental
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Central Espanol
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Racing Montevideo – last 6
WLLWWD
12 Sep
vs Boston River
3–2
W
9 Sep
vs Central Espanol
2–4
L
6 Sep
@ Cerro
0–1
L
4 Sep
@ Oriental
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Albion FC
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Danubio
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud and Racing Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
On our numbers Juventud have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Racing Montevideo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Juventud 1–1 Racing Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
