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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Groene Ster v AFC Amsterdam: numbers & prediction

KNVB Beker · Netherlands

Groene Ster

DWDWD
1–6
FT

AFC Amsterdam

WDLWW
Groene Ster 18%Draw 20%AFC Amsterdam 61% Expected goals 0.78 – 1.72
61%
Betarazi pick

AFC Amsterdam to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultAFC Amsterdam to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chanceAFC Amsterdam or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56

Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Groene Ster welcome AFC Amsterdam for a KNVB Beker fixture on Tuesday 22 September (19:00 WAT).

Current form

Groene Ster, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with EVV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

AFC Amsterdam, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Koninklijke HFC, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours AFC Amsterdam, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Groene Ster.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Groene Ster 0.8 xG, AFC Amsterdam 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Groene Ster 18%, draw 20%, AFC Amsterdam 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: AFC Amsterdam or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was AFC Amsterdam to win (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Groene Ster 0–1 AFC Amsterdam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Groene Ster18%fair 5.44 · @4.60
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.00
AFC Amsterdam61%fair 1.63 · @1.62
2.50Expected goals
0.78Groene Ster xG
1.72AFC Amsterdam xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Groene Ster 0.8 – 1.7 AFC Amsterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAFC Amsterdam to win ✓61%1.631.62
Double chanceAFC Amsterdam or draw ✓82%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.44
Draw no betAFC Amsterdam (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapGroene Ster +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreAFC Amsterdam to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT AFC Amsterdam / FT AFC Amsterdam ✓37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

Groene Ster – last 6

DWDWDL
19 Sep@ EVV1–1D
12 Sepvs Zwaluwen1–0W
5 Sep@ TOGB3–3D
2 Sepvs Heerjansdam2–1W
30 Augvs Vvsb3–3D
22 Aug@ Excelsior Maassluis1–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AFC Amsterdam – last 6

WDLWWW
19 Sep@ Koninklijke HFC3–1W
12 Sepvs HHC2–2D
5 Sep@ Rijnsburgse Boys0–3L
1 Sep@ Be Quick 18872–0W
29 Augvs ROHDA Raalte2–0W
22 Aug@ GVVV Veenendaal3–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Groene Ster and AFC Amsterdam.

Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam head-to-head page →

More KNVB Beker predictions

League hub
FT ACV2 Hoogeveen1 168%1.25X19%5.00214%9.50 3.6–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.50 ✓
FT Eemdijk2 Roosendaal1 135%2.90X20%3.80246%2.05 1.6–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.36 ✓
FT EVV3 Halsteren1 158%1.85X20%4.00222%3.25 2.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.36 ✓
FT GVVV Veenendaal4 DVS 33 Ermelo0 163%1.44X20%4.33217%6.00 2.1–0.9xG 1GVVV Veenendaal to win 63%@1.44 ✓
FT HHC0 Barendrecht1 161%1.62X21%3.75217%4.80 1HHC to win 61%@1.62 ✗
FT Koninklijke HFC1 Dovo1 AET 3–1 165%1.65X20%4.00215%4.40 2.4–1.1xG 1XKoninklijke HFC or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Rijnvogels0 Vvsb1 162%1.91X22%3.40216%3.60 2.3–1.2xG 1XRijnvogels or draw 84%@1.25 ✗
FT RKAV Volendam2 Spakenburg2 Pens 4–3 120%3.50X23%3.50257%1.91 X2Spakenburg or draw 80%@1.29 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?

Our pick is AFC Amsterdam to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?

On our numbers Groene Ster have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AFC Amsterdam 61%.

How many goals will there be in Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?

Our predicted score is Groene Ster 0–1 AFC Amsterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?

Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.