Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Purmersteijn travel to face Zwaluwen on Wednesday 23 September in the KNVB Beker – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Zwaluwen, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Lisse, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Purmersteijn, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over ADO '20, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zwaluwen 3.7 xG, Purmersteijn 3.3 xG – a total near 7.0. That is an open game on paper: 97% for three or more goals, 74% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zwaluwen 45%, draw 21%, Purmersteijn 35%.
GG/NG: GG (74%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (74%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zwaluwen 3–3 Purmersteijn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zwaluwen45%fair 2.25 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.60
Purmersteijn35%fair 2.88 · @2.75
7.00Expected goals
3.67Zwaluwen xG
3.33Purmersteijn xG
74%Both score
97%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–35%
4–34%
3–24%
3–44%
4–24%
2–34%
From our goals model: Zwaluwen 3.7 – 3.3 Purmersteijn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zwaluwen to win✗
45%
2.25
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
74%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Draw no bet
Zwaluwen (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Purmersteijn +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Zwaluwen to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Zwaluwen ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zwaluwen / FT Zwaluwen✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 4–3✗
4%
23.59
–
Recent results
Zwaluwen – last 6
WLWWLD
19 Sep
vs FC Lisse
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Groene Ster
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs UDI '19
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Lierop
7–0
W
29 Aug
@ Poortugaal
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs UNA
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Purmersteijn – last 6
WDLWWD
20 Sep
vs ADO '20
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Excelsior '31
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Dovo
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs Zwaluw VFC
4–3
W
30 Aug
@ Hoogeveen
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Sportlust '46
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zwaluwen and Purmersteijn.
What is the prediction for Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
On our numbers Zwaluwen have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Purmersteijn 35%.
How many goals will there be in Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
We expect about 7.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 97% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
Our predicted score is Zwaluwen 3–3 Purmersteijn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 7.0 goals in total.
When is Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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