Barcelona W 77%Draw 15%Arsenal W 9%Expected goals 3.32 – 1.14
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.28
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarcelona W to win77% · @1.27
Double chanceBarcelona W or draw91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–18% · fair 12.45
Barcelona W vs Arsenal W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Thursday 12 November: Barcelona W v Arsenal W in the UEFA Champions League Women, played at Spotify Camp Nou. In the table, Barcelona W are 1st, leading the league, on 9 points after 3 matches; Arsenal W are 5th (upper half) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Barcelona W, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Madrid CFF W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 4.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Arsenal W, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Liverpool W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Barcelona W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Arsenal W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barcelona W 3.3 xG, Arsenal W 1.1 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 78% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barcelona W 77%, draw 15%, Arsenal W 9%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barcelona W 3–1 Arsenal W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barcelona W77%fair 1.31 · @1.27
Draw15%fair 6.89 · @5.75
Arsenal W9%fair 11.19 · @9.50
4.47Expected goals
3.32Barcelona W xG
1.14Arsenal W xG
66%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–17%
3–07%
4–17%
2–06%
4–06%
From our goals model: Barcelona W 3.3 – 1.1 Arsenal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barcelona W
Arsenal W
Attack vs UEFA Champions League Women average
+121%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-22%
Our expected goals here
3.56
1.13
Our own ratings from every UEFA Champions League Women result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona W to win
77%
1.31
1.27
Double chance
Barcelona W or draw
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
66%
1.51
1.57
Draw no bet
Barcelona W (draw no bet)
90%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Barcelona W -1.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
60%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.50
First team to score
Barcelona W to score first
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Barcelona W ahead at half-time
61%
1.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barcelona W / FT Barcelona W
57%
1.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1
8%
12.45
–
Recent results
Barcelona W – last 6
WWWWLW
8 Nov
vs Madrid CFF W
5–1
W
1 Nov
@ FC Levante Badalona W
4–0
W
29 Oct
@ Køge W
8–0
W
24 Oct
vs Granada
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Real Sociedad W
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Real Madrid W
7–0
W
4.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Arsenal W – last 6
WDWWDL
7 Nov
@ Liverpool W
2–1
W
1 Nov
vs Aston Villa W
1–1
D
28 Oct
vs SL Benfica W
3–0
W
24 Oct
@ Tottenham Hotspur W
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Birmingham City W
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Manchester City W
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barcelona W and Arsenal W.
What is the prediction for Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
On our numbers Barcelona W have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Arsenal W 9%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
Our predicted score is Barcelona W 3–1 Arsenal W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
Barcelona W vs Arsenal W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Spotify Camp Nou.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
