Chelsea W vs Roma W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelsea W welcome Roma W to Stamford Bridge for a UEFA Champions League Women fixture on Wednesday 28 October (18:45 WAT). In the table, Chelsea W are 3rd, among the top four, on 8 points after 4 matches; Roma W are 10th (lower half) with 4.
Current form
Chelsea W, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Crystal Palace W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Roma W, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Juventus W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Chelsea W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Roma W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea W 1.9 xG, Roma W 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea W 73%, draw 13%, Roma W 14%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea W 1–1 Roma W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelsea W73%fair 1.37 · @1.11
Draw13%fair 7.66 · @8.50
Roma W14%fair 7.22 · @12.00
2.50Expected goals
1.92Chelsea W xG
0.58Roma W xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Chelsea W 1.9 – 0.6 Roma W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea W to win✓
73%
1.37
1.11
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.73
Draw no bet
Chelsea W (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Chelsea W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Chelsea W to score first✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Chelsea W ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Chelsea W – last 6
WWWDWW
25 Oct
@ Crystal Palace W
3–1
W
18 Oct
vs Tottenham Hotspur W
6–2
W
4 Oct
@ West Ham W
3–0
W
30 Sep
@ Lyon W
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Arsenal W
1–0
W
23 Sep
vs Austria Wien W
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Roma W – last 6
WWWLWD
24 Oct
@ Juventus W
5–2
W
18 Oct
vs AC Milan W
4–2
W
3 Oct
vs Lazio W
3–1
W
30 Sep
vs Barcelona W
0–6
L
27 Sep
@ Sassuolo W
3–1
W
23 Sep
@ OH Leuven W
0–0
D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea W and Roma W.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Chelsea W vs Roma W?
On our numbers Chelsea W have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Roma W 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Roma W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Roma W?
Our predicted score is Chelsea W 1–1 Roma W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chelsea W vs Roma W?
Chelsea W vs Roma W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
