Manchester City W 61%Draw 23%Real Madrid W 16%Expected goals 1.89 – 0.86
84%
Betarazi pick
Manchester City W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester City W to win ✗61% · @1.60
Double chanceManchester City W or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manchester City W welcome Real Madrid W to Manchester Regional Arena for a UEFA Champions League Women fixture on Thursday 1 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Manchester City W are 7th, upper half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Real Madrid W are 8th (upper half) with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Manchester City W, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Charlton Athletic W, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Real Madrid W, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Real Sociedad W, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester City W 1.9 xG, Real Madrid W 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester City W 61%, draw 23%, Real Madrid W 16%.
Lower-risk option: Manchester City W or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Manchester City W or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester City W 1–0 Real Madrid W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester City W61%fair 1.64 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.90
Real Madrid W16%fair 6.39 · @3.90
2.75Expected goals
1.89Manchester City W xG
0.86Real Madrid W xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Manchester City W 1.9 – 0.9 Real Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City W to win✗
61%
1.64
1.60
Double chance
Manchester City W or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Draw no bet
Manchester City W (draw no bet)
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Manchester City W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Manchester City W to score first✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Manchester City W ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City W / FT Manchester City W✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Manchester City W – last 6
WDWWWW
26 Sep
@ Charlton Athletic W
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Bayern Munich W
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Liverpool W
4–2
W
13 Sep
@ Aston Villa W
4–1
W
6 Sep
vs Birmingham City W
3–1
W
31 May
@ Brighton W
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Real Madrid W – last 6
WDWWDW
26 Sep
@ Real Sociedad W
5–3
W
22 Sep
vs Paris Saint Germain W
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Valencia W
3–1
W
11 Sep
@ Deportivo de La Coruña W
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Eibar W
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs Ajax W
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester City W and Real Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?
Our pick is Manchester City W or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?
On our numbers Manchester City W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Madrid W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Manchester City W 1–0 Real Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?
Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Manchester Regional Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
