Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArsenal W to win ✗69% · @1.35
Double chanceArsenal W or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Paris FC W vs Arsenal W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 30 September the UEFA Champions League Women brings Paris FC W against Arsenal W at Stade Jean Bouin. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Paris FC W are 16th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 4 matches; Arsenal W are 5th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
Paris FC W, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Barcelona W, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Arsenal W, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chelsea W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paris FC W 1.2 xG, Arsenal W 2.8 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paris FC W 13%, draw 18%, Arsenal W 69%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Arsenal W to win (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paris FC W 1–2 Arsenal W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paris FC W13%fair 7.52 · @6.50
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @4.33
Arsenal W69%fair 1.46 · @1.35
4.00Expected goals
1.23Paris FC W xG
2.77Arsenal W xG
61%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: Paris FC W 1.2 – 2.8 Arsenal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal W to win✗
69%
1.46
1.35
Double chance
Arsenal W or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Arsenal W (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal W -1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Arsenal W to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Arsenal W ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal W / FT Arsenal W✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Paris FC W – last 6
LWLWLW
23 Sep
@ Barcelona W
2–5
L
18 Sep
@ Strasbourg W
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Lyon W
1–7
L
6 Sep
vs Nantes W
2–0
W
29 May
@ Lyon W
0–5
L
6 May
vs Lens W
6–2
W
2.2Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arsenal W – last 6
LWDDWW
27 Sep
@ Chelsea W
0–1
L
22 Sep
vs Køge W
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Manchester United W
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Crystal Palace W
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Brighton W
1–0
W
13 May
vs Everton W
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris FC W and Arsenal W.
What is the prediction for Paris FC W vs Arsenal W?
Our pick is Arsenal W to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Paris FC W vs Arsenal W?
On our numbers Paris FC W have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Arsenal W 69%.
How many goals will there be in Paris FC W vs Arsenal W?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris FC W vs Arsenal W?
Our predicted score is Paris FC W 1–2 Arsenal W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Paris FC W vs Arsenal W?
Paris FC W vs Arsenal W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jean Bouin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
