Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultSampaio Corrêa RJ to win ✗49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.22
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 16 September the Copa Rio brings Sampaio Corrêa RJ against Madureira. Kick-off: 18:45 WAT.
Current form
Sampaio Corrêa RJ, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nova Iguaçu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Madureira, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Boavista SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sampaio Corrêa RJ, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Madureira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1.2 xG, Madureira 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sampaio Corrêa RJ 49%, draw 22%, Madureira 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–0 Madureira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sampaio Corrêa RJ49%fair 2.05 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Madureira29%fair 3.39 · @3.10
2.00Expected goals
1.18Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
0.81Madureira xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1.2 – 0.8 Madureira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win✗
49%
2.05
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Sampaio Corrêa RJ (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Madureira +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Sampaio Corrêa RJ to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampaio Corrêa RJ / FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.22
–
Recent results
Sampaio Corrêa RJ – last 6
WLWDWW
2 Sep
vs Nova Iguaçu
2–1
W
26 Aug
@ Nova Iguaçu
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs São Gonçalo EC RJ
1–0
W
5 Aug
@ São Gonçalo EC RJ
0–0
D
22 Jul
vs Resende
2–0
W
15 Jul
@ Resende
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Madureira – last 6
DLDWDD
2 Sep
vs Boavista SC
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Boavista SC
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs Portuguesa RJ
1–1
D
5 Aug
@ Portuguesa RJ
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Bonsucesso
1–1
D
15 Jul
@ Bonsucesso
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampaio Corrêa RJ and Madureira.
What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira?
On our numbers Sampaio Corrêa RJ have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Madureira 29%.
How many goals will there be in Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira?
Our predicted score is Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–0 Madureira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira?
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira (Copa Rio) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Rio · Brazil
