Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMadureira to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.93
Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Wednesday 23 September: Madureira v Sampaio Corrêa RJ in the Copa Rio, played at Estadio Conselheiro Galvao.
Current form
Madureira, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sampaio Corrêa RJ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sampaio Corrêa RJ, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Madureira, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sampaio Corrêa RJ, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Madureira.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Sep 2026) it ended Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–1 Madureira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Madureira 1.0 xG, Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Madureira 41%, draw 23%, Sampaio Corrêa RJ 36%.
Price worth noting: Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Madureira 1–0 Sampaio Corrêa RJ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Madureira41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Sampaio Corrêa RJ36%fair 2.74 · @3.00
1.95Expected goals
1.01Madureira xG
0.94Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
41%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Madureira 1.0 – 0.9 Sampaio Corrêa RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
On our numbers Madureira have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sampaio Corrêa RJ 36%.
How many goals will there be in Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
Our predicted score is Madureira 1–0 Sampaio Corrêa RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ (Copa Rio) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Conselheiro Galvao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Rio · Brazil · Estadio Conselheiro Galvao
