Curico Unido vs Concepción: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Concepción travel to face Curico Unido on Wednesday 23 September in the Copa Chile, with Estadio Bicentenario La Granja the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT.
Current form
Curico Unido, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to San Marcos de Arica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Concepción, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colo Colo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Concepción, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Curico Unido.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Curico Unido 1.3 xG, Concepción 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Curico Unido 33%, draw 24%, Concepción 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Curico Unido 1–1 Concepción. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Curico Unido33%fair 3.07 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Concepción43%fair 2.31 · @2.30
2.75Expected goals
1.26Curico Unido xG
1.49Concepción xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Curico Unido 1.3 – 1.5 Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concepción to win✓
43%
2.31
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.83
Draw no bet
Concepción (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Curico Unido +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Concepción to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concepción / FT Concepción✓
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Curico Unido – last 6
LWLDWL
13 Sep
@ San Marcos de Arica
0–3
L
9 Sep
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ D. Puerto Montt
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Recoleta
0–0
D
24 Aug
vs Union San Felipe
2–0
W
17 Aug
@ Deportes Copiapo
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Concepción – last 6
DLWDWW
13 Sep
@ Colo Colo
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs A. Italiano
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Nublense
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Coquimbo Unido
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Cobresal
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curico Unido and Concepción.
What is the prediction for Curico Unido vs Concepción?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Curico Unido vs Concepción?
On our numbers Curico Unido have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Concepción 43%.
How many goals will there be in Curico Unido vs Concepción?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Curico Unido vs Concepción?
Our predicted score is Curico Unido 1–1 Concepción, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Curico Unido vs Concepción?
Curico Unido vs Concepción (Copa Chile) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
A. Italiano0
Colo Colo0
Cobreloa1
Coquimbo Unido2