Union La Calera 34%Draw 23%U. Catolica 43%Expected goals 1.64 – 1.86
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: Union La Calera to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultU. Catolica to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Union La Calera vs U. Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 24 September the Copa Chile brings Union La Calera against U. Catolica. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.
Current form
Union La Calera, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportes Limache, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
U. Catolica, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Palestino, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours U. Catolica, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Union La Calera.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended U. Catolica 1–2 Union La Calera.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union La Calera 1.6 xG, U. Catolica 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union La Calera 34%, draw 23%, U. Catolica 43%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Union La Calera to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union La Calera 1–1 U. Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union La Calera34%fair 2.96 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
U. Catolica43%fair 2.32 · @2.05
3.50Expected goals
1.64Union La Calera xG
1.86U. Catolica xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.6 – 1.9 U. Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?
On our numbers Union La Calera have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and U. Catolica 43%.
How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?
Our predicted score is Union La Calera 1–1 U. Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?
Union La Calera vs U. Catolica (Copa Chile) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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