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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

U. Catolica v Union La Calera: numbers & prediction

Copa Chile · Chile · Claro Arena

U. Catolica

DWWWW
0–0
FTPens 2–4

Union La Calera

DWLLD
U. Catolica 66%Draw 21%Union La Calera 13% Expected goals 2.11 – 0.82
87%
Betarazi pick

U. Catolica or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: U. Catolica to win @ 1.60 – our chance 66% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultU. Catolica to win ✗66% · @1.60
Double chanceU. Catolica or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

U. Catolica vs Union La Calera: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

U. Catolica welcome Union La Calera to Claro Arena for a Copa Chile fixture on Sunday 27 September (00:00 WAT).

Current form

U. Catolica, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union La Calera, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Union La Calera, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with U. Catolica, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours U. Catolica, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Union La Calera.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Sep 2026) it ended Union La Calera 1–1 U. Catolica. The last 2 head-to-heads: U. Catolica 0 wins, Union La Calera 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give U. Catolica 2.1 xG, Union La Calera 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – U. Catolica 66%, draw 21%, Union La Calera 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: U. Catolica or draw (87%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: U. Catolica to win @1.60 – the bookmaker implies 63%, our ratings say 66%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was U. Catolica or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.14, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: U. Catolica 2–0 Union La Calera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

U. Catolica66%fair 1.51 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.00
Union La Calera13%fair 7.96 · @4.10
2.93Expected goals
2.11U. Catolica xG
0.82Union La Calera xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: U. Catolica 2.1 – 0.8 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultU. Catolica to win ✗66%1.511.60 ▲
Double chanceU. Catolica or draw ✓87%1.141.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.00 ▲
Draw no betU. Catolica (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapU. Catolica -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.932.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.10
First team to scoreU. Catolica to score first ✗68%1.47–
Half-time resultU. Catolica ahead at half-time ✗48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT U. Catolica / FT U. Catolica ✗44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.26–

Recent results

U. Catolica – last 6

DWWWWL
24 Sep@ Union La Calera1–1D
13 Sep@ Palestino3–2W
5 Sep@ Everton de Vina1–0W
1 Sepvs O'Higgins3–2W
26 Aug@ Coquimbo Unido2–1W
23 Augvs Nublense1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Union La Calera – last 6

DWLLDL
24 Sepvs U. Catolica1–1D
15 Sepvs Deportes Limache1–0W
6 Sep@ O'Higgins1–2L
31 Augvs D. La Serena0–1L
22 Aug@ A. Italiano0–0D
16 Aug@ Nublense1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Sep 2026Union La Calera v U. Catolica1–1
21 Apr 2026U. Catolica v Union La Calera1–2
U. Catolica vs Union La Calera head-to-head page →

More Copa Chile predictions

League hub
FT Antofagasta4 Deportes Iquique1 150%2.00X23%3.10227%3.60 1.7–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.83 ✓
FT Concepción2 Curico Unido0 164%1.40X21%4.20215%7.50 2.0–0.9xG 1Concepción to win 64%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?

Our pick is U. Catolica or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?

On our numbers U. Catolica have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union La Calera 13%.

How many goals will there be in U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?

Our predicted score is U. Catolica 2–0 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?

U. Catolica vs Union La Calera (Copa Chile) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Claro Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.