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Nublense v D. Puerto Montt: numbers & prediction

Copa Chile · Chile · Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Nublense

LLLLL
2–1
FT

D. Puerto Montt

WLLWL
Nublense 60%Draw 19%D. Puerto Montt 21% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.81
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultNublense to win ✓60% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.63

Nublense vs D. Puerto Montt: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:30 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Nublense v D. Puerto Montt in the Copa Chile, played at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.

Current form

Nublense, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to D. Puerto Montt, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

D. Puerto Montt, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Nublense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours D. Puerto Montt, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Nublense.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Sep 2026) it ended D. Puerto Montt 2–0 Nublense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nublense 1.6 xG, D. Puerto Montt 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nublense 60%, draw 19%, D. Puerto Montt 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nublense 1–0 D. Puerto Montt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nublense60%fair 1.67 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @4.00
D. Puerto Montt21%fair 4.67 · @5.00
2.46Expected goals
1.64Nublense xG
0.81D. Puerto Montt xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Nublense 1.6 – 0.8 D. Puerto Montt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNublense to win ✓60%1.671.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.902.00 ▲
Draw no betNublense (draw no bet) ✓74%1.36–
Asian handicapD. Puerto Montt +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.11
First team to scoreNublense to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nublense / FT Nublense ✗35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.63–

Recent results

Nublense – last 6

LLLLLW
22 Sep@ D. Puerto Montt0–2L
12 Sepvs Everton de Vina1–3L
6 Sep@ D. La Serena1–2L
3 Sep@ Deportes Limache0–2L
30 Augvs Concepción0–1L
23 Aug@ U. Catolica2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

D. Puerto Montt – last 6

WLLWLL
22 Sepvs Nublense2–0W
13 Sep@ Magallanes0–2L
8 Sepvs Rangers de Talca1–2L
5 Sepvs Curico Unido2–0W
30 Aug@ Deportes Temuco1–3L
22 Augvs Deportes Iquique0–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Sep 2026D. Puerto Montt v Nublense2–0
Nublense vs D. Puerto Montt head-to-head page →

More Copa Chile predictions

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FT Colo Colo1 A. Italiano0 165%1.55X23%4.00212%5.00 2.0–0.8xG 1Colo Colo to win 65%@1.55 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nublense vs D. Puerto Montt?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Nublense vs D. Puerto Montt?

On our numbers Nublense have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and D. Puerto Montt 21%.

How many goals will there be in Nublense vs D. Puerto Montt?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nublense vs D. Puerto Montt?

Our predicted score is Nublense 1–0 D. Puerto Montt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Nublense vs D. Puerto Montt?

Nublense vs D. Puerto Montt (Copa Chile) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.