VfL Wolfsburg W 81%Draw 12%Sturm Graz W 7%Expected goals 3.63 – 1.19
82%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultVfL Wolfsburg W to win ✓81% · @1.06
Double chanceVfL Wolfsburg W or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 13.08
VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sturm Graz W travel to face VfL Wolfsburg W on Wednesday 23 September in the UEFA Europa Cup Women, with AOK Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Current form
VfL Wolfsburg W, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to 1899 Hoffenheim W, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sturm Graz W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over SK Rapid W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Sturm Graz W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for VfL Wolfsburg W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VfL Wolfsburg W 3.6 xG, Sturm Graz W 1.2 xG – a total near 4.8. That is an open game on paper: 82% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VfL Wolfsburg W 81%, draw 12%, Sturm Graz W 7%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: VfL Wolfsburg W 3–1 Sturm Graz W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VfL Wolfsburg W81%fair 1.24 · @1.06
Draw12%fair 8.51 · @12.00
Sturm Graz W7%fair 13.65 · @23.00
4.82Expected goals
3.63VfL Wolfsburg W xG
1.19Sturm Graz W xG
56%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
4–17%
3–06%
2–16%
4–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: VfL Wolfsburg W 3.6 – 1.2 Sturm Graz W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfL Wolfsburg W to win✓
81%
1.24
1.06
Double chance
VfL Wolfsburg W or draw✓
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
VfL Wolfsburg W (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
VfL Wolfsburg W -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
First team to score
VfL Wolfsburg W to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
VfL Wolfsburg W ahead at half-time✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfL Wolfsburg W / FT VfL Wolfsburg W✓
60%
1.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
13.08
–
Recent results
VfL Wolfsburg W – last 6
LWWLWW
18 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim W
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Stuttgart W
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Werder Bremen W
3–2
W
2 Sep
@ Inter Milano W
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Bayer Leverkusen W
2–1
W
26 Aug
vs Inter Milano W
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sturm Graz W – last 6
WWWWWD
18 Sep
vs SK Rapid W
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Kleinmünchen BW Linz W
4–0
W
2 Sep
@ Gintra-Universitetas W
5–3
W
29 Aug
vs Südburgenland W
3–1
W
26 Aug
vs Gintra-Universitetas W
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ First Vienna W
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfL Wolfsburg W and Sturm Graz W.
What is the prediction for VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W?
On our numbers VfL Wolfsburg W have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Sturm Graz W 7%.
How many goals will there be in VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W?
Our predicted score is VfL Wolfsburg W 3–1 Sturm Graz W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W?
VfL Wolfsburg W vs Sturm Graz W (UEFA Europa Cup Women) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at AOK Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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