Value bet: Changchun Xidu to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHubei Chufeng Heli to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.32
Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hubei Chufeng Heli welcome Changchun Xidu to Xinhua Road Sports Center for a League Two fixture on Saturday 12 September (10:00 WAT). In the table, Hubei Chufeng Heli are 7th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; Changchun Xidu are 8th (in the drop zone) with 41. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hubei Chufeng Heli, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Shenzhen 2028, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Changchun Xidu, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dalian Kewei, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hubei Chufeng Heli 1.1 xG, Changchun Xidu 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hubei Chufeng Heli 40%, draw 25%, Changchun Xidu 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Changchun Xidu to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hubei Chufeng Heli 1–1 Changchun Xidu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hubei Chufeng Heli40%fair 2.52 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Changchun Xidu36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
2.16Expected goals
1.12Hubei Chufeng Heli xG
1.04Changchun Xidu xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hubei Chufeng Heli 1.1 – 1.0 Changchun Xidu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hubei Chufeng Heli to win✗
40%
2.52
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.95
Draw no bet
Hubei Chufeng Heli (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Changchun Xidu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Hubei Chufeng Heli to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hubei Chufeng Heli / FT Hubei Chufeng Heli✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.32
–
Recent results
Hubei Chufeng Heli – last 6
WLLLDD
23 Aug
@ Shenzhen 2028
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Langfang Glory City
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Chengdu Rongcheng II
2–3
L
5 Aug
vs Jiangxi Liansheng
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Guangdong Mingtu
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Wuhan Three Towns II
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Changchun Xidu – last 6
WDLDDL
22 Aug
vs Dalian Kewei
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ BIT
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Xi'an Ronghai
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Shanghai Second
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Shandong Taishan II
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Shanghai Port II
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hubei Chufeng Heli and Changchun Xidu.
What is the prediction for Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu?
On our numbers Hubei Chufeng Heli have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Changchun Xidu 36%.
How many goals will there be in Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu?
Our predicted score is Hubei Chufeng Heli 1–1 Changchun Xidu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu?
Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Changchun Xidu (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Xinhua Road Sports Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.